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Pages
- Title
- THE IMPACT OF OIL PRICE SURGES ON ECONOMIC GROWTH.
- Creator
-
Restrepo, Valeria, Hofler, Richard, University of Central Florida
- Abstract / Description
-
The objective of this research concerns identifying whether or not there is a relationship between oil price increases in a given quarter and the likelihood of a recession in the subsequent quarter. The data used is gathered from the St. Louis Fed Fred II, the National Bureau of Economic Research, and the Energy Information Administration to generate modified variables. These variables are tested using a qualitative dependent variable, recession, in a binary choice model. The findings...
Show moreThe objective of this research concerns identifying whether or not there is a relationship between oil price increases in a given quarter and the likelihood of a recession in the subsequent quarter. The data used is gathered from the St. Louis Fed Fred II, the National Bureau of Economic Research, and the Energy Information Administration to generate modified variables. These variables are tested using a qualitative dependent variable, recession, in a binary choice model. The findings validated the assumption that oil prices do have a correlation with recessions, and that the relationship is a direct one. Based on the model, an increase in the price of oil will positively affect the likelihood of a "recession" outcome versus the alternative, "no recession". It is anticipated that the results will inspire future research into the causes and effects of oil price surges, as well as the determinants of economic contractions in the future based on policy decisions and economic decision-making practices in the present.
Show less - Date Issued
- 2011
- Identifier
- CFH0004088, ucf:44804
- Format
- Document (PDF)
- PURL
- http://purl.flvc.org/ucf/fd/CFH0004088
- Title
- A COMPARATIVE ANALYSIS OF THE IMMIGRATION POLICY IN ITALY, FRANCE, NORWAY, AND THE ROLE OF THE EUROPEAN UNION.
- Creator
-
Belmonte, Christina, Sadri, Houman, University of Central Florida
- Abstract / Description
-
This thesis analyzes the differing immigration policies and issues within Italy, France and Norway by looking at the factors of historical background, politics, and economics. Each of these factors plays a different role in shaping immigration. Italy with a shift to the center right politically although currently with a technocratic government in power; a large unstable economy; and also a society not quite standardized culturally yet becoming increasingly multi-ethnic with immigration, is...
Show moreThis thesis analyzes the differing immigration policies and issues within Italy, France and Norway by looking at the factors of historical background, politics, and economics. Each of these factors plays a different role in shaping immigration. Italy with a shift to the center right politically although currently with a technocratic government in power; a large unstable economy; and also a society not quite standardized culturally yet becoming increasingly multi-ethnic with immigration, is beginning to become stricter with immigration policy as it has been increasing in recent years. France with a newly left-wing socialist political party in power after a many years of a center right political dominance, a strong economy, and a very nationalist society also has a very strict immigration policy that many view inadequate for the integration of France. Lastly, Norway with a social-democratic labor led party in support of a strong welfare state; a strong economy; and a historical society of relative homogeneity that values equality and individuality, seeks immigration policy to maintain those values and encourage integration. Also, important to note is the role of the European Union which has an effect on all of these countries with many new initiatives to further the integration of immigration within the European Union as well as causing new migration flows with its expansion.
Show less - Date Issued
- 2012
- Identifier
- CFH0004321, ucf:45029
- Format
- Document (PDF)
- PURL
- http://purl.flvc.org/ucf/fd/CFH0004321
- Title
- The Conditionality of Vulnerability: Three Analyses of Risk and Opportunity in Civil Military Relations.
- Creator
-
Schiel, Rebecca, Powell, Jonathan, Kinsey, Barbara, Dolan, Thomas, Thyne, Clayton, University of Central Florida
- Abstract / Description
-
Prior research has not established a clear relationship between democracy and insulation from coups d'(&)#233;tat. I contend that the lack of attention paid to the conditional influences of democracy have resulted in these mixed findings. I posit that insulation from coups occurs at higher levels of economic development and judicial institutional strength in democracies. Further, the vulnerability at low levels of both economic development and judicial institutional strength is significantly...
Show morePrior research has not established a clear relationship between democracy and insulation from coups d'(&)#233;tat. I contend that the lack of attention paid to the conditional influences of democracy have resulted in these mixed findings. I posit that insulation from coups occurs at higher levels of economic development and judicial institutional strength in democracies. Further, the vulnerability at low levels of both economic development and judicial institutional strength is significantly greater in democracies than in autocracies. Empirical assessments of 165 states for the years 1950-2012 offer strong support for both arguments. Results from these studies first help to reconcile earlier research on coup risk in democracies. Second, I point to the conditionality of democratic coup risk by highlighting the roles of economic development and political institutions. Third, I underscore the vast differences in institutional arrangements within democracies, suggesting a more nuanced approach is needed in the study of democratic political institutions. In line with this research, I examine the propensity for democratization in the aftermath of irregular leader removal. Examining the actors and tactics associated with different removal types, I focus on the benefits and challenges posed to democratization in the aftermath of removals. In an empirical assessment of authoritarian states from 1950-2012, I find that only removals resulting from coups, in conjunction with economic development, have significantly higher rates of democratization compared with the null. The results of this study are twofold, finding that not all forms of irregular leadership removal result in similar rates of post-removal democratization and that coups have driven prior results finding an association between irregular leader removal, economic development, and democratization.
Show less - Date Issued
- 2018
- Identifier
- CFE0007365, ucf:52087
- Format
- Document (PDF)
- PURL
- http://purl.flvc.org/ucf/fd/CFE0007365
- Title
- Government Respect for Human Rights and their Relation to Shadow Economic Activity.
- Creator
-
Gahagan, Christopher, Mousseau, Demet, Marien, Daniel, Reynolds, Teddy, University of Central Florida
- Abstract / Description
-
Shadow economic activity can have detrimental effects on many aspects of a society including trust in government policies, quality of public institutions, government revenues, and economic growth. Empirical studies have generally employed a rational actor approach and focused on economic factors. Most studies in this literature claim that when individuals do not receive the right economic stimuli from the government, it damages the relationship between individuals and the state and citizens...
Show moreShadow economic activity can have detrimental effects on many aspects of a society including trust in government policies, quality of public institutions, government revenues, and economic growth. Empirical studies have generally employed a rational actor approach and focused on economic factors. Most studies in this literature claim that when individuals do not receive the right economic stimuli from the government, it damages the relationship between individuals and the state and citizens opt to move into the shadow economy. A small but growing body of research, however, suggests that certain political factors can also lead to shadow economic activity because of a breakdown in the relationship between individuals and the state. Building on this growing body of research, this study investigates how governments' repression of human rights can play an important role in the growth of shadow economic activities. The empirical literature on human rights offer three main groups of human rights: Survival Rights (physical integrity), Women's Economic Rights, and Civil Liberties (i.e. freedom of speech). This study expects a similar pattern for all sectors of human rights, that when they are abused, citizens will react to those abuses by moving into the shadow economy because of the breakdown in the citizen-state relationship. Several multiple regression analyses are conducted for 150 countries from the years 1999 to 2011 to investigate if these different types of human rights had an impact on the levels of shadow economic activity. Results indicate that while Survival Rights and Women's Economic Rights have no statistically significant impact on the size of the shadow economy, the respect or abuse of citizens' Civil Liberties are statistically significant after the introduction of control variables. A possible reason for the difference in these findings might be that while the fear of reprisal of Survival Rights can work to deter shadow economic activity, repression of Civil Liberties may not create enough fear to deter it. Future research is necessary in this area to expand our knowledge on the political determinants of the size of the shadow economy as well as the creation of policies to combat its growth.
Show less - Date Issued
- 2019
- Identifier
- CFE0007459, ucf:52691
- Format
- Document (PDF)
- PURL
- http://purl.flvc.org/ucf/fd/CFE0007459
- Title
- Rethinking Routing and Peering in the era of Vertical Integration of Network Functions.
- Creator
-
Dey, Prasun, Yuksel, Murat, Wang, Jun, Ewetz, Rickard, Zhang, Wei, Hasan, Samiul, University of Central Florida
- Abstract / Description
-
Content providers typically control the digital content consumption services and are getting the most revenue by implementing an (")all-you-can-eat(") model via subscription or hyper-targeted advertisements. Revamping the existing Internet architecture and design, a vertical integration where a content provider and access ISP will act as unibody in a sugarcane form seems to be the recent trend. As this vertical integration trend is emerging in the ISP market, it is questionable if existing...
Show moreContent providers typically control the digital content consumption services and are getting the most revenue by implementing an (")all-you-can-eat(") model via subscription or hyper-targeted advertisements. Revamping the existing Internet architecture and design, a vertical integration where a content provider and access ISP will act as unibody in a sugarcane form seems to be the recent trend. As this vertical integration trend is emerging in the ISP market, it is questionable if existing routing architecture will suffice in terms of sustainable economics, peering, and scalability. It is expected that the current routing will need careful modifications and smart innovations to ensure effective and reliable end-to-end packet delivery. This involves new feature developments for handling traffic with reduced latency to tackle routing scalability issues in a more secure way and to offer new services at cheaper costs. Considering the fact that prices of DRAM or TCAM in legacy routers are not necessarily decreasing at the desired pace, cloud computing can be a great solution to manage the increasing computation and memory complexity of routing functions in a centralized manner with optimized expenses. Focusing on the attributes associated with existing routing cost models and by exploring a hybrid approach to SDN, we also compare recent trends in cloud pricing (for both storage and service) to evaluate whether it would be economically beneficial to integrate cloud services with legacy routing for improved cost-efficiency. In terms of peering, using the US as a case study, we show the overlaps between access ISPs and content providers to explore the viability of a future in terms of peering between the new emerging content-dominated sugarcane ISPs and the healthiness of Internet economics. To this end, we introduce meta-peering, a term that encompasses automation efforts related to peering (-) from identifying a list of ISPs likely to peer, to injecting control-plane rules, to continuous monitoring and notifying any violation (-) one of the many outcroppings of vertical integration procedure which could be offered to the ISPs as a standalone service.
Show less - Date Issued
- 2019
- Identifier
- CFE0007797, ucf:52351
- Format
- Document (PDF)
- PURL
- http://purl.flvc.org/ucf/fd/CFE0007797
- Title
- QUANTIFYING THE IMPACTS OF THE 2007 ECONOMIC CRISIS ON A LOCAL TOURISM INDUSTRY AND REGIONAL ECONOMY.
- Creator
-
Zhong, Yun Ying, Tadayuki, Hara, University of Central Florida
- Abstract / Description
-
The purpose of the study is to explore the accuracy of the Input-Output model and its derivative, the Occupation-Based model in investigating the impacts of the 2007 economic crisis on the tourism-related industries and the local economy in the Metro Orlando Area, Florida. The 2007-2008 total visitor expenditure change is taken as an initial shock from the economic crisis on the region's tourism-related industries, and the total impacts are measured in terms of industry output (sales),...
Show moreThe purpose of the study is to explore the accuracy of the Input-Output model and its derivative, the Occupation-Based model in investigating the impacts of the 2007 economic crisis on the tourism-related industries and the local economy in the Metro Orlando Area, Florida. The 2007-2008 total visitor expenditure change is taken as an initial shock from the economic crisis on the region's tourism-related industries, and the total impacts are measured in terms of industry output (sales), employment and annual occupational wage. The estimation results are compared with the actual data to verify the accuracy of the modeling results. Paired-sample T tests are performed to determine whether the difference between the actual and estimated results are statistically significant or not. The findings suggest that the Input-Output model tends to overestimate the negative effects from the 2007 economic crisis in terms of output and employment, especially on the tourism-related industries. While the estimation results indicate the 2007 economic crisis greatly damaged the local tourism-related industries between 2007 and 2008, the actual data show that most of these industries experienced output and employment growth in that one year period. Moreover, the study findings also indicate that the Occupation-Based model has the tendency of overestimating the annual wage loss, especially for the occupations which take up large employment ratio in an industry. By investigating the local economic activities during the study period, this study made some explorative efforts in explaining such discrepancies. Theoretical and practical implications are then suggested
Show less - Date Issued
- 2011
- Identifier
- CFE0003582, ucf:48897
- Format
- Document (PDF)
- PURL
- http://purl.flvc.org/ucf/fd/CFE0003582
- Title
- UNDERSTANDING THE ANTECEDENTS AND CONSEQUENCES OF SALES & USE TAX POLICY: EVIDENCE FROM THREE STUDIES.
- Creator
-
Hageman, Amy, Bobek, Donna, University of Central Florida
- Abstract / Description
-
This dissertation consists of three separate but interrelated studies examining the antecedents and consequences of sales and use tax (SUT) policy. The first study investigates whether elements of the SUT system influence elements of economic development, and tests whether SUT rates and/or bases influence state-aggregated levels of capital expenditures and employment within the manufacturing sector from 1983-2006. Results indicate that elements of the tax base (i.e., SUT exemptions) affect...
Show moreThis dissertation consists of three separate but interrelated studies examining the antecedents and consequences of sales and use tax (SUT) policy. The first study investigates whether elements of the SUT system influence elements of economic development, and tests whether SUT rates and/or bases influence state-aggregated levels of capital expenditures and employment within the manufacturing sector from 1983-2006. Results indicate that elements of the tax base (i.e., SUT exemptions) affect these indicators of economic development, but the same relationship was not seen for SUT rates. The second study examines individual taxpayer compliance across different tax settings (i.e., the state use tax compared to the federal income tax) and tests whether differences in detection mechanisms, social norms, or ignorance explain these differences in compliance. Based on a final sample of 148 taxpayers, results show that social norms had an important influence on tax compliance differences across tax settings. The third study investigates the antecedents of states' adoption of the Streamlined Sales & Use Tax Agreement (SSUTA) using both a cross-sectional empirical model and an in-depth qualitative case study of three states. Both the model and case study suggest that governmental interest groups, rather than businesses, play an important role in the adoption of inter-jurisdictional tax policy changes. Overall, the three studies within this dissertation all advance the SUT literature by using various theoretical perspectives and methodological approaches to demonstrate that governmental interest groups influence the adoption of SUT policy (antecedents), and that SUT provisions in turn influence business and individual decisions alike (consequences).
Show less - Date Issued
- 2009
- Identifier
- CFE0002739, ucf:48178
- Format
- Document (PDF)
- PURL
- http://purl.flvc.org/ucf/fd/CFE0002739
- Title
- A SOCIO-ECONOMIC ASSESSMENT OF MARINE TURTLE ECO-TOURISM.
- Creator
-
Cope, Kendra, Mansfield, Kate, Weishampel, John, Slotkin, Michael, DeFreese, Duane, University of Central Florida
- Abstract / Description
-
Marine turtles have historically contributed to economic activity through consumptive harvest for food, tools, and decorative objects. Only recently have they begun to benefit humans economically through non-consumptive roles, primarily as a focal point of educational eco-tourism. In recent years, the annual number of turtle walks conducted around the Archie Carr National Wildlife Refuge (ACNWR) has risen. This expansion contributed to a statistically significant increase in attendance from 2...
Show moreMarine turtles have historically contributed to economic activity through consumptive harvest for food, tools, and decorative objects. Only recently have they begun to benefit humans economically through non-consumptive roles, primarily as a focal point of educational eco-tourism. In recent years, the annual number of turtle walks conducted around the Archie Carr National Wildlife Refuge (ACNWR) has risen. This expansion contributed to a statistically significant increase in attendance from 2,162 in 2001 to 3,047 participants in 2014. I examined the regional economic impacts of marine turtle eco-tourism around the ACNWR using social surveys and an economic impact analysis tool. IMPLAN, an input-output modeling package, has been used in tourism industries around the U.S. since 1992, but this study is the first to use this tool to evaluate the holistic economic effects of marine turtle-based eco-tourism within a selected region. During the 2014 turtle walk season (June through July), surveys were distributed at six different turtle walk locations within Brevard and Indian River Counties, Florida, along the central Florida Atlantic coast. Adults attending the turtle walks (n=2,274) were given time before the educational presentation began to complete a one-page survey. Approximately 93% of turtle walk participants completed surveys. Due to market interactions within this two-county region, turtle walks contributed a minimum of three new jobs and a conservative estimate of almost $250,000 (USD) to the local economy during the two-month turtle walk season. Using financial comparisons and economic impact tools, like IMPLAN, can improve our understanding of the many roles, especially non-consumptive uses, sea turtles have in our communities. This information can be useful in resource management and conservation-based decision making.
Show less - Date Issued
- 2015
- Identifier
- CFE0005934, ucf:50845
- Format
- Document (PDF)
- PURL
- http://purl.flvc.org/ucf/fd/CFE0005934
- Title
- Political, Economic, and Health Determinants of Tuberculosis Incidence.
- Creator
-
Rutherford, Ashley, Unruh, Lynn, Rohde, Kyle, Wan, Thomas, Nobles, Matt, University of Central Florida
- Abstract / Description
-
The epidemiologic transition has shifted major causes of mortality from infectious disease to chronic disease; however, infectious diseases are again re-emerging as a major global concern (Diamond, 1997; Karlen, 1995; McNeil, 1976). This research aimed to identify potential areas of infectious disease influence that are not health-related in order to help governments and policymakers establish new policies, correct current policies, or further address these issues in order to effectively...
Show moreThe epidemiologic transition has shifted major causes of mortality from infectious disease to chronic disease; however, infectious diseases are again re-emerging as a major global concern (Diamond, 1997; Karlen, 1995; McNeil, 1976). This research aimed to identify potential areas of infectious disease influence that are not health-related in order to help governments and policymakers establish new policies, correct current policies, or further address these issues in order to effectively prevent and combat infectious disease. This study employed a retrospective, cross-sectional, non-experimental design via structural equation modeling (SEM) and examined tuberculosis incidence rates at the country-level. Secondary data from open-source, international databases like World Bank's World Development Indicators, World Governance Indicators, and World Health Organization for the year 2014 was utilized. Results revealed that the latent constructs of political stability, health system indicators, and detection policies directly affected tuberculosis incidence rates; they also exhibited an indirect effect due to covariation. Economic stability did not direct affect tuberculosis incidence, but it indirectly influenced incidence through the covariation of political stability, health system indicators, and detection policies. As a country's political stability increased, tuberculosis incidence decreased. As positive health system indicators increased, tuberculosis incidence decreased. Countries with more Xpert detection policies in place experienced an apparent increase in tuberculosis incidence.
Show less - Date Issued
- 2016
- Identifier
- CFE0006842, ucf:51798
- Format
- Document (PDF)
- PURL
- http://purl.flvc.org/ucf/fd/CFE0006842
- Title
- Two Essays on Investors' Attention to Economically Linked Firms.
- Creator
-
Khoshnoud, Mahsa, Chen, Honghui, Frye, Melissa, Gatchev, Vladimir, Turnbull, Geoffrey, Harrison, David, Roberts, Robin, University of Central Florida
- Abstract / Description
-
My first essay examines the degree to which the market prices of publicly traded firms reflect and respond to new information regarding the economic viability and vitality of organizations to which they are strategically linked. More specifically, I exploit the uniquely transparent nature of the lessor-lessee relationship across commercial real estate markets to evaluate whether future returns to real estate investment trusts (REITs) are systematically affected by the financial return...
Show moreMy first essay examines the degree to which the market prices of publicly traded firms reflect and respond to new information regarding the economic viability and vitality of organizations to which they are strategically linked. More specifically, I exploit the uniquely transparent nature of the lessor-lessee relationship across commercial real estate markets to evaluate whether future returns to real estate investment trusts (REITs) are systematically affected by the financial return performance and/or operational opacity of the tenants who lease their investment properties. Using a hand collected data set identifying the principal tenants of 96 publicly traded REITs, I find those firms with the best performing tenants generate annualized abnormal returns which are approximately six percent higher than those realized by REITs with the worst performing tenants. These results are robust to a variety of model specifications, and a closer inspection of the results reveals these performance differentials are consistent with emerging evidence across the literature suggesting investors' limited attention materially influences the return predictability of assets. With respect to the current investigation, I thus conclude investors' limited attention leads to the failure of REIT prices to fully reflect the valuation implications of their tenants' return performance.My second essay investigates how sophisticated investors, such as short sellers, trade on information along the supply chain. Short sellers are known to be generally better informed than common investors. Given the economic linkages that exist between the suppliers and customers, one would expect short sellers to trade on such information. My results indicate that short interest predicts unexpected earnings news, consistent with short sellers extracting information from economic relationships. When I evaluate stock return and short interests in regression analysis, I find strong negative relation between short interest in supplier firm and the future stock returns for the customer firm for the return in the next month. The negative relation persists for twelve months. I find similar results from portfolio approach. I argue that one plausible channel that explains the information content of supplier (customer) firm's short interest for the customer (supplier) firms is short sale constraints on the customer (supplier) firms. My results are consistent with this explanation. Overall, my findings suggest that short sellers play an important role in the price discovery of related firms on supply chain, beyond their direct effects documented previously.
Show less - Date Issued
- 2017
- Identifier
- CFE0006755, ucf:51842
- Format
- Document (PDF)
- PURL
- http://purl.flvc.org/ucf/fd/CFE0006755
- Title
- Go Fish: An Analysis of Economic Rents in Panamanian Fisheries Against Ecosystem Service Values.
- Creator
-
Glassner, David, Jacques, Peter, Morales, Waltraud, Kiel, Dwight, University of Central Florida
- Abstract / Description
-
Global demand of fish for consumption in developing nations is expected to continue to rise in the near future, putting pressure on stocks that are already overexploited. In the territorial waters of Panama there is a constant struggle between commercial vessels with high yield, subsistence fishermen trying to feed a remote village, and ecosystem services struggling to sustain themselves. These services are the direct and indirect benefits received by the population in the form of food, raw...
Show moreGlobal demand of fish for consumption in developing nations is expected to continue to rise in the near future, putting pressure on stocks that are already overexploited. In the territorial waters of Panama there is a constant struggle between commercial vessels with high yield, subsistence fishermen trying to feed a remote village, and ecosystem services struggling to sustain themselves. These services are the direct and indirect benefits received by the population in the form of food, raw materials, nutrient cycling, and disaster regulation. They are being degraded by illegal and unregulated fishing, bottom trawlers raking the benthos and destroying coral reefs, longlines responsible for thousands of sea turtle and bird deaths, and purse seines that decrease species biodiversity in fish stock. While the government has passed laws to reduce the environmental impact the industrial fisheries have, they lack effective enforcement. An alternative approach is to place monetary values on ecosystem services to show the monetary value of previously unrepresented natural capital. Application of this method to fisheries management can educate policy makers on the economic losses to expect if overfishing of the seas continues and provide the economic imperative to lessen impacts on oceanic ecosystems. Through comparative analysis it is shown that the market value of all fish catch in Panamanian waters is less than that which is provided by the ecosystem services in the area. Open ocean and coral reef ecosystem services provide a combined $103 billion per year while the highest grossing fish catch in Panamanian waters managed to net $356 million in 2004. There is an economic and political imperative to protect and promote sustainability of not only the fish stock, but all ecosystem services in the ocean.
Show less - Date Issued
- 2013
- Identifier
- CFE0004683, ucf:49854
- Format
- Document (PDF)
- PURL
- http://purl.flvc.org/ucf/fd/CFE0004683
- Title
- Modeling of Socio-Economic Factors and Adverse Events In an Active War Theater By Using a Cellular Automata Simulation Approach.
- Creator
-
Bozkurt, Halil, Karwowski, Waldemar, Lee, Gene, Thompson, William, Mikusinski, Piotr, University of Central Florida
- Abstract / Description
-
Department of Defense (DoD) implemented Human Social Cultural and Behavior (HSCB) program to meet the need to develop capability to understand, predict and shape human behavior among different cultures by developing a knowledge base, building models, and creating training capacity. This capability will allow decision makers to subordinate kinetic operations and promote non-kinetic operations to govern economic programs better in order to initiate efforts and development to address the...
Show moreDepartment of Defense (DoD) implemented Human Social Cultural and Behavior (HSCB) program to meet the need to develop capability to understand, predict and shape human behavior among different cultures by developing a knowledge base, building models, and creating training capacity. This capability will allow decision makers to subordinate kinetic operations and promote non-kinetic operations to govern economic programs better in order to initiate efforts and development to address the grievances among the displeased by adverse events. These non-kinetic operations include rebuilding indigenous institutions' bottom-up economic activity and constructing necessary infrastructure since the success in non-kinetic operations depends on understanding and using social and cultural landscape. This study aims to support decision makers by building a computational model to understand economic factors and their effect on adverse events.In this dissertation, the analysis demonstrates that the use of cellular automata has several significant contributions to support decision makers allocating development funds to stabilize regions with higher adverse event risks, and to better understand the complex socio-economic interactions with adverse events. Thus, this analysis was performed on a set of spatial data representing factors from social and economic data. In studying behavior using cellular automata, cells in the same neighborhood synchronously interact with each other to determine their next states, and small changes in iteration may yield to complex formations of adverse event risk after several iterations of time. The modeling methodology of cellular automata for social and economic analysis in this research was designed in two major implementation levels as follows: macro and micro-level. In the macro-level, the modeling framework integrates population, social, and economic sub-systems. The macro-level allows the model to use regionalized representations, while the micro-level analyses help to understand why the events have occurred. Macro-level subsystems support cellular automata rules to generate accurate predictions. Prediction capability of cellular automata is used to model the micro-level interactions between individual actors, which are represented by adverse events.The results of this dissertation demonstrate that cellular automata model is capable of evaluating socio-economic influences that result in changes in adverse events and identify location, time and impact of these events. Secondly, this research indicates that the socio-economic influences have different levels of impact on adverse events, defined by the number of people killed, wounded or hijacked. Thirdly, this research shows that the socio-economic, influences and adverse events that occurred in a given district have impacts on adverse events that occur in neighboring districts. The cellular automata modeling approach can be used to enhance the capability to understand and use human, social and behavioral factors by generating what-if scenarios to determine the impact of different infrastructure development projects to predict adverse events. Lastly, adverse events that could occur in upcoming years can be predicted to allow decision makers to deter these events or plan accordingly if these events do occur.
Show less - Date Issued
- 2013
- Identifier
- CFE0004820, ucf:49719
- Format
- Document (PDF)
- PURL
- http://purl.flvc.org/ucf/fd/CFE0004820
- Title
- Russia--democracy or dictatorship?.
- Creator
-
Thomas, Norman Mattoon, Seidman, Joel Isaac
- Date Issued
- 1939
- Identifier
- 370504, CFDT370504, ucf:5504
- Format
- Document (PDF)
- PURL
- http://purl.flvc.org/FCLA/DT/370504
- Title
- From socialism to communism in the Soviet Union: Report on the work of the Central Committee to the Eighteenth Congress of the C.P.S.U.(B.) delivered March 10, 1939.
- Creator
-
Stalin, Joseph, T︠S︡K KPSS
- Date Issued
- 1939
- Identifier
- 2180034, CFDT2180034, ucf:4933
- Format
- Document (PDF)
- PURL
- http://purl.flvc.org/FCLA/DT/2180034
- Title
- Down by the Suwanee River.
- Creator
-
Hopwood, Aubrey, PALMM (Project)
- Date Issued
- 1897
- Identifier
- AAA3227QF00011/15/200108/04/200515814BfamIa D0QF, FHP C 2001-11-15, FCLA url 20020219xOCLC, 49491749, CF00001557, 2556556, ucf:6554
- Format
- E-book
- PURL
- http://purl.flvc.org/fcla/dl/CF00001557.jpg
- Title
- Problems of the development of the U. S. S. R: Draft of the thesis of the International left opposition on the Russian question.
- Creator
-
Trotsky, Leon, Lewitt, Morris, Shachtman, Max
- Date Issued
- 1931
- Identifier
- 367857, CFDT367857, ucf:5364
- Format
- Document (PDF)
- PURL
- http://purl.flvc.org/FCLA/DT/367857
- Title
- The October revolution and the struggle for socialism.
- Creator
-
Molotov, Vyacheslav Mikhaylovich
- Date Issued
- c1932
- Identifier
- 671346, CFDT671346, ucf:5561
- Format
- Document (PDF)
- PURL
- http://purl.flvc.org/FCLA/DT/671346
- Title
- The New phase in the Soviet Union: Report to the enlarged Presidium of the Executive Committee of the Communist International, February 25, 1930.
- Creator
-
Molotov, Vyacheslav Mikhaylovich, Communist International Executive Committee
- Date Issued
- 1931
- Identifier
- 369422, CFDT369422, ucf:5445
- Format
- Document (PDF)
- PURL
- http://purl.flvc.org/FCLA/DT/369422
- Title
- The world situation, the internal and international position of the Soviet Union.
- Creator
-
TSK KPSS, Stalin, Joseph, Kommunisticheskaiia partiia Sovetskogo Soiuza
- Date Issued
- c1934
- Identifier
- 369238, CFDT369238, ucf:5407
- Format
- Document (PDF)
- PURL
- http://purl.flvc.org/FCLA/DT/369238
- Title
- Florida: the east coast and Keys.
- Creator
-
Richardson, Joseph, Florida East Coast Railway, PALMM (Project)
- Abstract / Description
-
A mix of text and photographs illustrating recreational opportunities as well as agriculture products in Florida. Also contains several pictures of major hotels of the East Coast Hotel System.
- Date Issued
- 1895
- Identifier
- AAB9284QF00008/26/200511/13/200622169BfamIa D0QF, FHP C UCF 2005-08-03, FCLA url 20060322xOCLC, 75960553, CF00001716, 2584120, ucf:19531
- Format
- E-book
- PURL
- http://purl.flvc.org/fcla/tc/fhp/CF00001716.jpg
