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- Title
- ANALYSIS OF VARIOUS CAR-TRUCK CRASH TYPES BASED ON GES AND FARS CRASH DATABASES USING MUTLINOMIAL AND BINARY LOGIT MODEL.
- Creator
-
Mannila, Kranthi Kiran, Radwan, Essam, University of Central Florida
- Abstract / Description
-
Each year about 400,000 trucks are involved in motor vehicle crashes. Crashes involving a car and truck have always been a major concern due to the heavy fatality rates. These types of crashes result in about 60 percent of all fatal truck crashes and two-thirds of all police-reportable truck crashes. Car-truck crashes need to be analyzed further to study the trends for a car-truck crash and develop some countermeasures to lower these crashes. Various types of car-truck crashes are analyzed in...
Show moreEach year about 400,000 trucks are involved in motor vehicle crashes. Crashes involving a car and truck have always been a major concern due to the heavy fatality rates. These types of crashes result in about 60 percent of all fatal truck crashes and two-thirds of all police-reportable truck crashes. Car-truck crashes need to be analyzed further to study the trends for a car-truck crash and develop some countermeasures to lower these crashes. Various types of car-truck crashes are analyzed in this study and the effects of various roadway/environment factors and variables related to driver characteristics in these car-truck crashes are investigated. To examine the crash characteristics and to investigate the significant factors related to a car-truck crash, this study analyzed five years of data (2000-2004) of the General estimates system of National Sampling System (GES) and the Fatality Analysis Reporting system database (FARS). All two vehicle crashes including either a car or truck (truck-truck cases excluded because of their low percentage composition) were obtained from these databases. Based on the five year data (GES/FARS) the percentage of car-truck angle collisions constituted the highest percent of frequency of all types of car-truck collisions. Furthermore, based on the 2004 GES data there is a clear trend that the frequency of angle collision increases with the increase in driver injury severity. When analyzing the GES data it was observed that the percentage of angle collisions was the highest followed by the rear end and sideswipe (same direction) collisions respectively. When the fatalities were considered (FARS database used), the percentage of angle collisions was the highest followed by head-on and rear-end collisions. The nominal multinomial logit model and logistic regression models were utilized for this analysis. Divided section, alcohol involvement, adverse weather conditions, dark lighting condition and old age of drivers had a significant effect on the car-truck crashes and were likely to increase the likelihood of a car-truck crash. Whereas dark but light conditions, young aged drivers showed a less likelihood of involving in a car-truck crash. This research is significant in providing an insight into various car-truck crash types and provides with results, which have impacted the car-truck crashes. A better understanding of the factors impacting these crashes will help in providing better countermeasures, which would result in reducing the car-truck crashes.
Show less - Date Issued
- 2006
- Identifier
- CFE0001390, ucf:46996
- Format
- Document (PDF)
- PURL
- http://purl.flvc.org/ucf/fd/CFE0001390
- Title
- USING AUGMENTED REALITY FOR STUDYING LEFT TURN MANEUVER AT UN-SIGNALIZED INTERSECTION AND HORIZONTAL VISIBILITY BLOCKAGE.
- Creator
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Moussa, Ghada, Radwan, Essam, University of Central Florida
- Abstract / Description
-
Augmented reality "AR" is a promising paradigm that can provide users with real-time, high-quality visualization of a wide variety of information. In AR, virtual objects are added to the real-world view in a real time. Using the AR technology can offer a very realistic environment for driving enhancement as well as driving performance testing under different scenarios. This can be achieved by adding virtual objects (people, vehicles, hazards, and other objects) to the normal view while...
Show moreAugmented reality "AR" is a promising paradigm that can provide users with real-time, high-quality visualization of a wide variety of information. In AR, virtual objects are added to the real-world view in a real time. Using the AR technology can offer a very realistic environment for driving enhancement as well as driving performance testing under different scenarios. This can be achieved by adding virtual objects (people, vehicles, hazards, and other objects) to the normal view while driving in a safe controlled environment. In this dissertation, the feasibility of adapting the AR technology into traffic engineering was investigated. Two AR systems; AR Vehicle "ARV" system and Offline AR Simulator "OARSim" system were built. The systems' outcomes as well as the on-the-road driving under the AR were evaluated. In evaluating systems' outcomes, systems were successfully able to duplicate real scenes and generate new scenes without any visual inconsistency. In evaluating on-the-road driving under the AR, drivers' distance judgment, speed judgment, and level of comfort while driving were evaluated. In addition, our systems were used to conduct two traffic engineering studies; left-turn maneuver at un-signalized intersection, and horizontal visibility blockage when following a light truck vehicle. The results from this work supported the validity of our AR systems to be used as a surrogate to the field-testing for transportation research.
Show less - Date Issued
- 2006
- Identifier
- CFE0001430, ucf:47044
- Format
- Document (PDF)
- PURL
- http://purl.flvc.org/ucf/fd/CFE0001430
- Title
- RIGHT TURN SPLIT: A NEW DESIGN TO ALLEVIATE WEAVING ON ARTERIAL STREETS.
- Creator
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Shaaban, Khaled, Radwan, Essam, University of Central Florida
- Abstract / Description
-
While weaving maneuvers occur on every type of roadway, most studies have focused on freeway maneuvers. Weaving occurring on non-freeway facilities, such as arterial streets, can cause significant operational problems. Arterial streets weaving typically occur when vehicles coming from a side street at an upstream intersection attempt to enter the main street from one side to reach access points on the opposite site at a downstream intersection by crossing one or more lanes. This dissertation...
Show moreWhile weaving maneuvers occur on every type of roadway, most studies have focused on freeway maneuvers. Weaving occurring on non-freeway facilities, such as arterial streets, can cause significant operational problems. Arterial streets weaving typically occur when vehicles coming from a side street at an upstream intersection attempt to enter the main street from one side to reach access points on the opposite site at a downstream intersection by crossing one or more lanes. This dissertation investigates the type of problems occurring on arterial streets due to the weaving movements and recommends a new design to alleviate weaving on arterial streets. Firstly, the dissertation examined the different weaving movements occurring between two close-spaced intersections at two sites in Florida and explained the breakdown conditions caused by the weaving movements at the two sites. Secondly, the dissertation proposed a new design, Right Turn Split (RTS), to alleviate the delay caused by the weaving movements. The new design proposed separating the worst weaving movement entering the arterial from the other movements and providing a separate path for this movement. The new method is easy to implement and does not require much right of way. Thirdly, the dissertation compared two microscopic models, SimTraffic and VISSIM, to choose the most suitable model to be used to study the operational benefits of the RTS design. Based on the results of the comparison, it was decided to use SimTraffic for the analysis. Fourthly, the dissertation proposed a new calibration and validation procedure for microscopic simulation models. The procedure was applied on SimTraffic using the traffic data from the two studied sites. The proposed procedure appeared to be properly calibrating and validating the SimTraffic simulation model. Finally, the calibrated and validated model was used to study the operational benefits of the RTS design. Using a wide range of geometric and volume conditions, 729 before and after pairs were created to compare the delay of similar scenarios before and after applying the RTS design. The results were analyzed graphically and statistically. The findings of the analysis showed that the RTS design provided lower delay on the arterial street than the original conditions.
Show less - Date Issued
- 2005
- Identifier
- CFE0000402, ucf:46346
- Format
- Document (PDF)
- PURL
- http://purl.flvc.org/ucf/fd/CFE0000402
- Title
- SAFETY ISSUES OF RED-LIGHT RUNNING AND UNPROTECTED LEFT-TURN AT SIGNALIZED INTERSECTIONS.
- Creator
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Yan, Xuedong, Radwan, Essam, University of Central Florida
- Abstract / Description
-
Crashes categorized as running red light or left turning are most likely to occur at signalized intersections and resulted in substantial severe injuries and property damages. This dissertation mainly focused on these two types of vehicle crashes and the research methodology involved several perspectives. To examine the overall characteristics of red-light running and left-turning crashes, firstly, this study applied 1999-2001 Florida traffic crash data to investigate the accident propensity...
Show moreCrashes categorized as running red light or left turning are most likely to occur at signalized intersections and resulted in substantial severe injuries and property damages. This dissertation mainly focused on these two types of vehicle crashes and the research methodology involved several perspectives. To examine the overall characteristics of red-light running and left-turning crashes, firstly, this study applied 1999-2001 Florida traffic crash data to investigate the accident propensity of three aspects of risk factors related to traffic environments, driver characteristics, and vehicle types. A quasi-induced exposure concept and statistical techniques including classification tree model and multiple logistic regression were used to perform this analysis. Secondly, the UCF driving simulator was applied to test the effect of a proposed new pavement marking countermeasure which purpose is to reduce the red-light running rate at signalized intersections. The simulation experiment results showed that the total red-light running rate with marking is significantly lower than that without marking. Moreover, deceleration rate of stopping drivers with marking for the higher speed limit are significantly less than those without marking. These findings are encouraging and suggesting that the pavement marking may result in safety enhancement as far as right-angle and rear-end traffic crashes at signalized intersections. Thirdly, geometric models to compute sight distances of unprotected left-turns were developed for different signalized intersection configurations including a straight approach leading to a straight one, a straight approach leading to a curved one, and a curved approach leading to a curved one. The models and related analyses can be used to layout intersection design or evaluate the sight distance problem of an existing intersection configuration to ensure safe left-turn maneuvers by drivers.
Show less - Date Issued
- 2005
- Identifier
- CFE0000451, ucf:46389
- Format
- Document (PDF)
- PURL
- http://purl.flvc.org/ucf/fd/CFE0000451
- Title
- SAFETY ISSUES OF RED-LIGHT RUNNING AND UNPROTECTED LEFT-TURN AT SIGNALIZED INTERSECTIONS.
- Creator
-
Yan, Xuedong, Radwan, Essam, University of Central Florida
- Abstract / Description
-
Crashes categorized as running red light or left turning are most likely to occur at signalized intersections and resulted in substantial severe injuries and property damages. This dissertation mainly focused on these two types of vehicle crashes and the research methodology involved several perspectives. To examine the overall characteristics of red-light running and left-turning crashes, firstly, this study applied 1999-2001 Florida traffic crash data to investigate the accident propensity...
Show moreCrashes categorized as running red light or left turning are most likely to occur at signalized intersections and resulted in substantial severe injuries and property damages. This dissertation mainly focused on these two types of vehicle crashes and the research methodology involved several perspectives. To examine the overall characteristics of red-light running and left-turning crashes, firstly, this study applied 1999-2001 Florida traffic crash data to investigate the accident propensity of three aspects of risk factors related to traffic environments, driver characteristics, and vehicle types. A quasi-induced exposure concept and statistical techniques including classification tree model and multiple logistic regression were used to perform this analysis. Secondly, the UCF driving simulator was applied to test the effect of a proposed new pavement marking countermeasure which purpose is to reduce the red-light running rate at signalized intersections. The simulation experiment results showed that the total red-light running rate with marking is significantly lower than that without marking. Moreover, deceleration rate of stopping drivers with marking for the higher speed limit are significantly less than those without marking. These findings are encouraging and suggesting that the pavement marking may result in safety enhancement as far as right-angle and rear-end traffic crashes at signalized intersections. Thirdly, geometric models to compute sight distances of unprotected left-turns were developed for different signalized intersection configurations including a straight approach leading to a straight one, a straight approach leading to a curved one, and a curved approach leading to a curved one. The models and related analyses can be used to layout intersection design or evaluate the sight distance problem of an existing intersection configuration to ensure safe left-turn maneuvers by drivers.
Show less - Date Issued
- 2005
- Identifier
- CFE0000401, ucf:46347
- Format
- Document (PDF)
- PURL
- http://purl.flvc.org/ucf/fd/CFE0000401
- Title
- HURRICANE EVACUATION: ORIGIN, ROUTE AND DESTINATION.
- Creator
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Dixit, Vinayak, Radwan, Essam, University of Central Florida
- Abstract / Description
-
Recent natural disasters have highlighted the need to evacuate people as quickly as possible. During hurricane Rita in 2005, people were stuck in queue buildups and large scale congestions, due to improper use of capacity, planning and inadequate response to vehicle breakdown, flooding and accidents. Every minute is precious in situation of such disaster scenarios. Understanding evacuation demand loading is an essential part of any evacuation planning. One of the factors often understood to...
Show moreRecent natural disasters have highlighted the need to evacuate people as quickly as possible. During hurricane Rita in 2005, people were stuck in queue buildups and large scale congestions, due to improper use of capacity, planning and inadequate response to vehicle breakdown, flooding and accidents. Every minute is precious in situation of such disaster scenarios. Understanding evacuation demand loading is an essential part of any evacuation planning. One of the factors often understood to effect evacuation, but not modeled has been the effect of a previous hurricane. This has also been termed as the 'Katrina Effect', where, due to the devastation caused by hurricane Katrina, large number of people decided to evacuate during Hurricane Rita, which hit Texas three weeks after Katrina hit Louisiana. An important aspect influencing the rate of evacuation loading is Evacuation Preparation Time also referred to as 'Mobilization time' in literature. A methodology to model the effect of a recent past hurricane on the mobilization times for evacuees in an evacuation has been presented utilizing simultaneous estimation techniques. The errors for the two simultaneously estimated models were significantly correlated, confirming the idea that a previous hurricane does significantly affect evacuation during a subsequent hurricane. The results show that the home ownership, number of individuals in the household, income levels, and level/risk of surge were significant in the model explaining the mobilization times for the households. Pet ownership and number of kids in the households, known to increase the mobilization times during isolated hurricanes, were not found to be significant in the model. Evacuation operations are marred by unexpected blockages, breakdown of vehicles and sudden flooding of transportation infrastructure. A fast and accurate simulation model to incorporate flexibility into the evacuation planning procedure is required to react to such situations. Presently evacuation guidelines are prepared by the local emergency management, by testing various scenarios utilizing micro-simulation, which is extremely time consuming and do not provide flexibility to evacuation plans. To gain computational speed there is a need to move away from the level of detail of a micro-simulation to more aggregated simulation models. The Cell Transmission Model which is a mesoscopic simulation model is considered, and compared with VISSIM a microscopic simulation model. It was observed that the Cell Transmission Model was significantly faster compared to VISSIM, and was found to be accurate. The Cell Transmission model has a nice linear structure, which is utilized to construct Linear Programming Problems to determine optimal strategies. Optimization models were developed to determine strategies for optimal scheduling of evacuation orders and optimal crossover locations for contraflow operations on freeways. A new strategy termed as 'Dynamic Crossovers Strategy' is proposed to alleviate congestion due to lane blockages (due to vehicle breakdowns, incidents etc.). This research finds that the strategy of implementing dynamic crossovers in the event of lane blockages does improve evacuation operations. The optimization model provides a framework within which optimal strategies are determined quickly, without the need to test multiple scenarios using simulation. Destination networks are the cause of the main bottlenecks for evacuation routes, such aspects of transportation networks are rarely studied as part of evacuation operations. This research studies destination networks from a macroscopic perspective. Various relationships between network level macroscopic variables (Average Flow, Average Density and Average speed) over the network were studied. Utilizing these relationships, a "Network Breathing Strategy" was proposed to improve dissipation of evacuating traffic into the destination networks. The network breathing strategy is a cyclic process of allowing vehicles to enter the network till the network reaches congestion, which is followed by closure of their entry into the network until the network reaches an acceptable state. After which entrance into the network is allowed again. The intuitive motivation behind this methodology is to ensure that the network does not remain in congested conditions. The term 'Network Breathing' was coined due to the analogy seen between this strategy to the process of breathing, where vehicles are inhaled by the network (vehicles allowed in) and dissipated by the network (vehicles are not allowed in). It is shown that the network breathing improves the dissipation of vehicle into the destination network. Evacuation operations can be divided into three main levels: at the origin (region at risk), routes and destination. This research encompasses all the three aspects and proposes a framework to assess the whole system in its entirety. At the Origin the demand dictates when to schedule evacuation orders, it also dictates the capacity required on different routes. These breakthroughs will provide a framework for a real time Decision Support System which will help emergency management official make decisions faster and on the fly.
Show less - Date Issued
- 2008
- Identifier
- CFE0002051, ucf:47589
- Format
- Document (PDF)
- PURL
- http://purl.flvc.org/ucf/fd/CFE0002051
- Title
- THE USE OF THE UCF DRIVING SIMIULATOR TO TEST THE CONTRIBUTION OF LARGER SIZE VEHICLES (LSVS) IN REAR-END COLLISIONS AND RED LIGHT RUNNING ON INTERSECTIONS.
- Creator
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Harb, Rami, Radwan, Essam, University of Central Florida
- Abstract / Description
-
Driving safety has been an issue of great concern in the United States throughout the years. According to the National Center for Statistics and Analysis (NCSA), in 2003 alone, there were 6,267,000 crashes in the U.S. from which 1,915,000 were injury crashes, including 38,764 fatal crashes and 43,220 human casualties. The U.S. Department of Transportation spends millions of dollars every year on research that aims to improve roadway safety and decrease the number of traffic collisions. In...
Show moreDriving safety has been an issue of great concern in the United States throughout the years. According to the National Center for Statistics and Analysis (NCSA), in 2003 alone, there were 6,267,000 crashes in the U.S. from which 1,915,000 were injury crashes, including 38,764 fatal crashes and 43,220 human casualties. The U.S. Department of Transportation spends millions of dollars every year on research that aims to improve roadway safety and decrease the number of traffic collisions. In spring 2002, the Center for Advanced Traffic System Simulation (CATSS), at the University of Central Florida, acquired a sophisticated reconfigurable driving simulator. This simulator, which consists of a late model truck cab, or passenger vehicle cab, mounted on a motion base capable of operation with six degrees of freedom, is a great tool for traffic studies. Two applications of the simulator are to study the contribution of Light Truck Vehicles (LTVs) to potential rear-end collisions, the most common type of crashes, which account for about a third of the U.S. traffic crashes, and the involvement of Larger Size Vehicles (LSVs) in red light running. LTVs can obstruct horizontal visibility for the following car driver and has been a major issue, especially at unsignalized intersections. The sudden stop of an LTV, in the shadow of the blindness of the succeeding car driver, may deprive the following vehicle of a sufficient response time, leading to high probability of a rear-end collision. As for LSVs, they can obstruct the vertical visibility of the traffic light for the succeeding car driver on signalized intersection producing a potential red light running for the latter. Two sub-scenarios were developed in the UCF driving simulator for each the vertical and horizontal visibility blockage scenarios. The first sub-scenario is the base sub-scenario for both scenarios, where the simulator car follows a passenger car, and the second sub-scenario is the test sub-scenario, where the simulator car follows an LTV for the horizontal visibility blockage scenario and an LSV for the vertical visibility blockage scenario. A suggested solution for the vertical visibility blockage of the traffic light problem that consisted of adding a traffic signal pole on the right side of the road was also designed in the driving simulator. The results showed that LTVs produce more rear-end collisions at unsignalized intersections due to the horizontal visibility blockage and following car drivers' behavior. The results also showed that LSVs contribute significantly to red light running on signalized intersections and that the addition of a traffic signal pole on the right side of the road reduces the red light running probability.
Show less - Date Issued
- 2005
- Identifier
- CFE0000626, ucf:46513
- Format
- Document (PDF)
- PURL
- http://purl.flvc.org/ucf/fd/CFE0000626
- Title
- QUALITY OF SERVICE MEASURES AT SIGNALIZED INTERSECTIONS.
- Creator
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Goyal, Kamal, Radwan, Essam, University of Central Florida
- Abstract / Description
-
The concept of using qualitative measures to describe the quality of service at signalized intersections provided by different designs and controls has been discussed in numerous conferences. Such measures may include driver's comfort, convenience, anxiety, and preferences. The primary objective of this study was to demonstrate the feasibility of using the University of Central Florida's interactive driving simulator to execute several scenarios involving different unusual design and...
Show moreThe concept of using qualitative measures to describe the quality of service at signalized intersections provided by different designs and controls has been discussed in numerous conferences. Such measures may include driver's comfort, convenience, anxiety, and preferences. The primary objective of this study was to demonstrate the feasibility of using the University of Central Florida's interactive driving simulator to execute several scenarios involving different unusual design and operation practices to measure the quality of service at a signalized intersection. This thesis describes the scenarios, the experiments conducted, the data collected, and analysis of results. Signalized intersections with 3 types of characteristic features were identified for this study. They included 1. A lane dropping on the downstream side of the intersection 2. Misalignment of traffic lanes between the approach and downstream side 3. Shared left turn and through traffic lane or separate lanes for each approaching the intersection The experimental phase consisted of a brief orientation session to get acclimated to the driving simulator followed by two driving scenarios presented to all subjects. Each scenario consisted of a drive through an urban section of the simulator's visual data base where each subject encountered a Type 1, 2 and 3 intersections. A total of 40 subjects, 25 males and 15 females were recruited for the experiment. Data logging at 60 Hz for each scenario consisted of time-stamped values of x-position and y-position of the simulator vehicle, steering, accelerator and brake inputs by the driver, and vehicle speed. After the experiment a questionnaire soliciting opinions and reactions about each intersection was administered. Simulator experiment results showed that there was a significant difference between the merge lengths for the two cases of Type 1 intersection (lane drop on the downstream side of the intersection). For Type 2 intersection (misalignment of traffic lanes between the approach and downstream side) there was a considerable difference between the average paths followed by subjects for the two cases. For Type 3 intersection (shared left and through traffic lane approaching the intersection) the simulator experiment supported the fact that people get frustrated when trapped behind a left turning vehicle in a joint left and through lane intersection and take evasive actions to cross the intersection as soon as possible.
Show less - Date Issued
- 2005
- Identifier
- CFE0000786, ucf:46574
- Format
- Document (PDF)
- PURL
- http://purl.flvc.org/ucf/fd/CFE0000786
- Title
- HEURISTIC PRIORITIZATION OF EMERGENCY EVACUATION STAGING TO REDUCE CLEARANCE TIME.
- Creator
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Mitchell, Steven, Radwan, Essam, University of Central Florida
- Abstract / Description
-
A region's evacuation strategy encompasses a variety of areas and needs. Primary among these is the minimization of total evacuation time, represented in models as the clearance time estimate (CTE). A generic testbed simulation network model was developed. An input/output (I/O) analysis was performed to establish a theoretical baseline CTE. Results were compared with simulations; analysis showed that the I/O method underestimated simulated CTE as a function of network size, with a correction...
Show moreA region's evacuation strategy encompasses a variety of areas and needs. Primary among these is the minimization of total evacuation time, represented in models as the clearance time estimate (CTE). A generic testbed simulation network model was developed. An input/output (I/O) analysis was performed to establish a theoretical baseline CTE. Results were compared with simulations; analysis showed that the I/O method underestimated simulated CTE as a function of network size, with a correction factor range of 1.09 to 1.19. A regression model was developed for the generic network. Predictors were total trips, and network size defined as a function of origin-destination distance. Total Trips ranged between 40,000 and 60,000. Holding size constant, R-squared values ranged from 97.1 to 99.3, indicating a high goodness of fit. Holding Total Trips constant, R-squared values ranged from 74.5 to 89.2. Finally, both Total Trips and size were used as predictors; the resulting regression model had an R-squared value of 97.3. This overall model is more useful, since real world situations are not fixed in nature. The overall regression model was compared to a case network. The generic network regression model provided a close CTE approximation; deltas ranged from -4.7% to 8.6%. It was concluded that a generic network can serve as a surrogate for a case network over these ranges. This study developed and evaluated heuristic strategies for evacuation using the generic network. Strategies were compared with a simultaneous departure loading scenario. Six different grouping strategies were evaluated. An initial evaluation was conducted using the generic network, and strategies that showed potential CTE reduction were implemented on the case study network. Analysis indicated that the HF-10 (half-far) grouping for 60k total trips showed potential reduction. A complete simulation was conducted on the case network for all HF scenarios; an ANOVA was run using Dunnett's comparison. Results indicated that the HF grouping with 20% and 30% departure shifts showed potential for CTE reduction. From this it was concluded that the generic network could be used as a testbed for strategies that would show success on a case network.
Show less - Date Issued
- 2006
- Identifier
- CFE0001098, ucf:46777
- Format
- Document (PDF)
- PURL
- http://purl.flvc.org/ucf/fd/CFE0001098
- Title
- SIMULATION AND CONTINUANCE OF OPERATION FOR THE USE OF TRANSIT (LYNX) TO BE USED IN EMERGENCY EVACUATION INCIDENTS.
- Creator
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Elmitiny, Noor, Radwan, Essam, University of Central Florida
- Abstract / Description
-
The evacuation planning has become an important issue addressed by many research studies and publications aiming to improve the security of the daily life for our public inside the United States of America. The main objective of this research was to address the growing need for evacuation planning using traffic simulation. With increased interests and awareness in emergency evacuation and first responder access to emergencies in public locations (airports, transit stations, ports or stadiums)...
Show moreThe evacuation planning has become an important issue addressed by many research studies and publications aiming to improve the security of the daily life for our public inside the United States of America. The main objective of this research was to address the growing need for evacuation planning using traffic simulation. With increased interests and awareness in emergency evacuation and first responder access to emergencies in public locations (airports, transit stations, ports or stadiums), the traffic simulation can be helpful in orchestrating the traffic flow during emergencies. Related to this issue, Federal Transit Administration has issued a large number of publications and guidelines concerning emergency preparedness and incident management. These guidelines are used to develop a simulation-based activity to evaluate the current plan and alternative plans for the deployment of transit during an emergency situation. A major task for this project is to study the effect of evacuation on the surrounding traffic network and help the local transit company (LYNX) to evaluate their evacuation plan and consider different possibilities without the risk and cost of actual evacuation drills. A set of different scenarios and alternatives for each scenario were simulated and studied to reach the best possible evacuation strategy. The main findings were evacuation as pedestrians have less impact on traffic network and rerouting decreases the congestion resulting from the evacuation process.
Show less - Date Issued
- 2006
- Identifier
- CFE0001188, ucf:46870
- Format
- Document (PDF)
- PURL
- http://purl.flvc.org/ucf/fd/CFE0001188
- Title
- WORK ZONE EFFECTS ON PERFORMANCE OF A TOLL PLAZA.
- Creator
-
liu, jingyu, Radwan, Essam, University of Central Florida
- Abstract / Description
-
No-lane closure workzone is typical during the construction of open road tolling lanes of a toll plaza. The influence of no-lane closure on toll plazas' performance is unknown because very few studies have been conducted to address this topic. The open road tolling (ORT) has become the new trend of operating an efficient toll plaza. So, the upgrading of a toll plaza from gated E-pass to open road E-pass has become common. The better the toll plaza authority knows about the influence of...
Show moreNo-lane closure workzone is typical during the construction of open road tolling lanes of a toll plaza. The influence of no-lane closure on toll plazas' performance is unknown because very few studies have been conducted to address this topic. The open road tolling (ORT) has become the new trend of operating an efficient toll plaza. So, the upgrading of a toll plaza from gated E-pass to open road E-pass has become common. The better the toll plaza authority knows about the influence of this construction and congestion effects, the better it can serve the costumers. This project mainly deals with the effects of no-lane closure workzone on the toll plaza performance, and with the collected data, a model was developed predicting 15 minutes throughput and queue length. To better study the workzone impact on toll plaza performance, three sites with different characteristics were selected. They are Lake Jesup Mainline Plaza along the Seminole Expressway (SR-417), the Beachline West Expressway Toll Plaza along the SR-528 and Conway toll plaza along the Holland East-West Expressway (SR-408) in Orlando area of Central Florida. Data preparation includes demand, throughput, processing rates, and queue lengths of different toll categories. Data was collected during peak period for before and during the no-lane closure construction (phase 1) at SR-528 and Lake Jesup toll plaza at SR-417, and middle lane construction (phase 2) and after opening ORT lanes (phase 3) at Conway toll plaza at SR-408.Comparisons were conducted between non-construction stage and construction stage for non-lane closure workzone effects study using data from 417 and 528, and comparisons between middle-lane-construction and complete of construction stage for ORT impact study using data from 408. Analysis results showed that when the toll plaza is operating at or close to its capacity, the no-lane closure workzone can have a negative impact on its performance. But when the toll plaza's demand is lower than the capacity, the no-lane closure workzone has no impact at the toll plaza's performance. And the ORT lanes have a positive influence on the capacity and throughput of the toll plaza. After the impact of no-lane closure workzone on toll plaza has been analyzed, all the data from three toll plazas are put together and a model is built using the variables of Demand/Capacity ratio, percentage of each category of vehicles, E-pass, Automatic or Manual, number of Manual lanes, workzone or no-workzone. Throughput and Queue length can be predicted by this model.
Show less - Date Issued
- 2009
- Identifier
- CFE0002951, ucf:47940
- Format
- Document (PDF)
- PURL
- http://purl.flvc.org/ucf/fd/CFE0002951
- Title
- CHARACTERISTICS OF RED LIGHT RUNNING CRASHESIN FLORIDA.
- Creator
-
Elnashar, Dina, Radwan, Essam, University of Central Florida
- Abstract / Description
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Red light running is one of the main contributing factors of crashes in urban areas in Florida and the United States. Nationwide, according to preliminary estimates by the Federal Highway Administration (FHWA) 2001, there were nearly 218,000 red-light running crashes at intersections. These crashes resulted in as many as 181,000 injuries and 880 fatalities, and an economic loss estimated at $14 billion per year nationwide, According to the Community Traffic Safety Team Florida Coalition (A...
Show moreRed light running is one of the main contributing factors of crashes in urban areas in Florida and the United States. Nationwide, according to preliminary estimates by the Federal Highway Administration (FHWA) 2001, there were nearly 218,000 red-light running crashes at intersections. These crashes resulted in as many as 181,000 injuries and 880 fatalities, and an economic loss estimated at $14 billion per year nationwide, According to the Community Traffic Safety Team Florida Coalition (A statewide traffic safety group) there were 9,348 crashes involving red-light running in Florida and 127 fatalities in 1999. This research study focused on studying the red light running crashes and violations in the State of Florida. There were three primary objectives for this research. The first primary objective was to analyze the red light running crashes in Florida from 2002 to 2004. The data for this part was collected from the Crash Analysis Reporting System of the Florida Department of Transportation. These crashes are reported as "disregarded traffic signal" as far as the first contributing cause. The analysis focused on the influences of different factors on red light running crashes including the driver (age group, gender, and DUI history) and the environment (time of day, day of week, type of road, and weather). However, not all red light crashes are reported as "disregarded traffic signal". Therefore, representing red light running crashes only through "disregard traffic signal" noted reports would underestimate the extent of red light running effects at a given intersection. Therefore, the second objective was to review the long form crash reports to determine the actual number of crashes related to red light running. The analysis for a random sample of the crashes on the sate roads of Florida on the year 2004 showed that the percentage of crashes related to red light running reported on the database was found to be (3.13%), and the percentage of crashes related to red light running reported in the original crash repot filled by the police officer are much higher than reported(5.63%), which shows the importance of standardizing the format and coding process for the long form crashes conducted by the police officers to help accurately identify the real cause of the crash at the studied location. The third objective was to analyze the violations data given for five intersections and find if there is a correlation between the average rate of violations per hour and the frequency of red light running crashes. The analysis showed that utilizing the limited number of intersections used in the study, it appears that there is no correlation between the average violations per hour and the red light running crashes at the studied locations.
Show less - Date Issued
- 2008
- Identifier
- CFE0002230, ucf:47920
- Format
- Document (PDF)
- PURL
- http://purl.flvc.org/ucf/fd/CFE0002230
- Title
- THE CALIBRATION AND VERIFICATION OF SIMULATION MODELS FOR TOLL PLAZAS.
- Creator
-
Russo, Christopher, Radwan, Essam, University of Central Florida
- Abstract / Description
-
A great deal of research has been conducted on Central Florida toll roads to better understand the characteristics of the tolling operation. In this thesis, the development and calibration of a toll plaza simulation models will be analyzed using two simulation programs varying mostly in their modeling theory. The two models utilized are, SHAKER, a deterministic queuing model for vehicles utilizing toll collection facilities, and VISSIM, a globally popular stochastic simulation software. The...
Show moreA great deal of research has been conducted on Central Florida toll roads to better understand the characteristics of the tolling operation. In this thesis, the development and calibration of a toll plaza simulation models will be analyzed using two simulation programs varying mostly in their modeling theory. The two models utilized are, SHAKER, a deterministic queuing model for vehicles utilizing toll collection facilities, and VISSIM, a globally popular stochastic simulation software. The benefits of simulation models leads to the purpose of this thesis, which is to examine the effectiveness of two toll modeling programs that are similar in purpose but vary in approach and methodology. Both SHAKER and VISSIM toll plaza models have the potential to work as a tool that can estimate the maximum throughput and capacity of toll plazas. Major operational benefits resulting from developing these models are to simulate and evaluate how traffic conditions will change when demand increases, when and if queues increase when a lane is closed due to maintenance or construction, the impact of constructing additional lanes, or determining whether or not the best lane type configuration is currently implemented. To effectively calibrate any model available site data must be used to compare simulation results to for model validity. In an effort to correctly calibrate the SHAKER toll plaza tool and VISSIM model, an extensive field collection procedure was conducted at four Florida Turnpike operated toll facilities located in Central Florida. Each site differed from the others in terms of number of lanes, lane configuration, toll base fee, highway location, traffic demand, and vehicle percentage. The sites chosen for data collection were: the Lake Jesup Mainline Plaza along the Seminole Expressway (SR-417), the Beachline West Expressway Toll Plaza along the SR-528, the Daniel Webster Western Beltway Plaza along SR-429, and the Leesburg Toll Plaza along the Florida Turnpike Mainline SR-91. Upon completion of calibration of the two simulation models it is determined that each of the two software are successful in modeling toll plaza capacity and queuing. As expected, each simulation model does possess benefits over the other in terms of set up time, analysis reporting time, and practicality of results. The SHAKER model setup takes mere seconds in order to create a network and input vehicle, another few seconds to calibrate driving parameters, and roughly 10 additional seconds to report analysis. Conversely, setting up the VISSIM model, even for the most experienced user, can take several hours and the report analysis time can take several more hours as it is dependant on the number of required simulation runs and complexity of the network. VISSIM is most beneficial by the fact that its modeling allows for driver variability while SHAKER assumes equilibrium amongst lane choice and queuing. This creates a more realistic condition to observed traffic patterns. Even though differences are prevalent, it is important that in each simulation model the capacity is accurately simulated and each can be used to benefit operational situations related to toll plaza traffic conditions.
Show less - Date Issued
- 2008
- Identifier
- CFE0002376, ucf:47821
- Format
- Document (PDF)
- PURL
- http://purl.flvc.org/ucf/fd/CFE0002376
- Title
- MOBILITY AND SAFETY EVALUATION OF INTEGRATED DYNAMIC MERGE AND SPEED CONTROL STRATEGIES IN WORK ZONES.
- Creator
-
Zaidi, Syed, Radwan, Essam, University of Central Florida
- Abstract / Description
-
There has been a considerable increase in the amount of construction work on the U.S. national highways. Due to the capacity drop, which is the result of lane closure in work zone area, congestion occurs with a high traffic demand. The congestion increases number and severity of traffic conflicts which raise the potential for accidents; furthermore traffic operational properties of roadway in work zone area become worse. Intelligent Transportation System technologies have been developed and...
Show moreThere has been a considerable increase in the amount of construction work on the U.S. national highways. Due to the capacity drop, which is the result of lane closure in work zone area, congestion occurs with a high traffic demand. The congestion increases number and severity of traffic conflicts which raise the potential for accidents; furthermore traffic operational properties of roadway in work zone area become worse. Intelligent Transportation System technologies have been developed and are being deployed to improve the safety and mobility of traffic in and around work zones. The use of Dynamic Merge Controls (dynamic early merge and dynamic late merge) have been initiated to enhance traffic safety and to smooth traffic operations in work zone areas. The use of variable speed limit (VSL) systems at work zones is also one of those measures. VSL systems improve safety by helping the driver in determining the maximum speed that drivers should travel. Besides adding improvement to safety, they are also expected to improve mobility at the work zones. The main goal of this study was to evaluate the safety and operational effectiveness of the dynamic merge systems in the presence of VSL controls. VISSIM model is utilized to simulate a two-to-one lane configuration when one out of the two lanes in the work zone is closed for traffic. Two scenarios each for early and late simplified dynamic lane merge system (SDLMS) with and without VSLs, whereas one scenario each for the current Motorist Awareness System (MAS) and VSL alone were adopted to assess the effectiveness of these scenarios under different traffic demand volumes and different driversÂÂÂÂ' compliance rates to the messages displayed by the systems. Mean throughputs and travel time were operational measures of effectiveness whereas speed variance and deceleration means were taken as safety surrogate measures. Three different logics were coded each for VSL alone, early SDLMS+VSL and late SDLMS+VSL in calibrated and validated VISSIM model for SDLMS through Vehicle Actuated Programming (VAP) code. It is found that for low and medium volume levels (V0500, V1000 and V1500), there is no significant difference between the Maintenance of Traffic (MOT) plans for mean throughputs. For higher volume levels (V2000 and V2500), late SDLMS with and without VSL produced significantly higher mean throughputs for all compliance rates and truck percentages. This study revealed that VSL increases travel time through the work zone. It is also found out that VSL makes the system safer at higher volumes (2,000 vph and 2,500 vph). Another outcome of this study is that the addition of VSL to the dynamic merge systems helps in improving the overall safety of the system by lowering speed variances and deceleration means of the vehicles travelling through the work zone. The passage of traffic through the work zone is made safer when a speed control is integrated to a dynamic merge system.
Show less - Date Issued
- 2010
- Identifier
- CFE0003519, ucf:48974
- Format
- Document (PDF)
- PURL
- http://purl.flvc.org/ucf/fd/CFE0003519
- Title
- DEVELOPMENT OF A WEIGH-IN-MOTION SYSTEM USING ACOUSTIC EMISSION SENSORS.
- Creator
-
Bowie, Jeanne, Radwan, Essam, University of Central Florida
- Abstract / Description
-
This dissertation proposes a system for weighing commercial vehicles in motion using acoustic emission sensors attached to a metal bar placed across the roadway. The signal from the sensors is analyzed by a computer and the vehicle weight is determined by a statistical model which correlates the acoustic emission parameters to the vehicle weight. Such a system would be portable and low-cost, allowing for the measurement of vehicle weights in much the same way commercial tube and radar...
Show moreThis dissertation proposes a system for weighing commercial vehicles in motion using acoustic emission sensors attached to a metal bar placed across the roadway. The signal from the sensors is analyzed by a computer and the vehicle weight is determined by a statistical model which correlates the acoustic emission parameters to the vehicle weight. Such a system would be portable and low-cost, allowing for the measurement of vehicle weights in much the same way commercial tube and radar counters routinely collect vehicle speed and count. The system could be used to collect vehicle speed and count data as well as weight information. Acoustic emissions are naturally occurring elastic waves produced by the rapid release of energy within a material. They are caused by deformation or fracturing of a solid due to thermal or mechanical stress. Acoustic emission sensors have been developed to detect these waves and computer software and hardware have been developed to analyze and provide information about the waveforms. Acoustic emission testing is a common form of nondestructive testing and is used for pressure vessel testing, leak detection, machinery monitoring, structural integrity monitoring, and weld monitoring, among other things (Miller, 1987). For this dissertation, acoustic emission parameters were correlated to the load placed on the metal test bar to determine the feasibility of using a metal test bar to measure the weight of a vehicle in motion. Several experiments were done. First, the concept was tested in a laboratory setting using an experimental apparatus. A concrete cylinder was mounted on a frame and rotated using a motor. The metal test bar was applied directly to the surface of the cylinder and acoustic emission sensors were attached to each end of the bar. As the cylinder rotated, a motorcycle tire was pushed up against the cylinder using a scissor jack to simulate different loads. The acoustic emission response in the metal test strip to the motorcycle tire rolling over it was detected by the acoustic emission sensors and analyzed by the computer. Initial examinations of the data showed a correlation between the force of the tire against the cylinder and the energy and count of the acoustic emissions. Subsequent field experiments were performed at a weigh station on I-95 in Flagler County, Florida. The proposed weigh-in-motion system (the metal test bar with attached acoustic emission sensors) was installed just downstream of the existing weigh-in-motion scale at the weigh station. Commercial vehicles were weighed on the weigh station weigh-in-motion scale and acoustic emission data was collected by the experimental system. Test data was collected over several hours on two different days, one in July 2008 and the other in April 2009. Initial examination of the data did not show direct correlation between any acoustic emission parameter and vehicle weight. As a result, a more sophisticated model was developed. Dimensional analysis was used to examine possible relationships between the acoustic emission parameters and the vehicle weight. In dimensional analysis, a dimensionally correct equation is formed using measurable parameters of a system. The dimensionally correct equation can then be tested using experimental data. Dimensional analysis revealed the possible relationships between the acoustic emission parameters and the vehicle weight. Statistical models for weight using the laboratory data and using the field data were developed. Dimensional analysis variables as well as other relevant measurable parameters were used in the development of the statistical models. The model created for the April 2009 dataset was validated, with only 27 lbs average error in the weight calculation as compared with the weight measurement made with the weigh station weigh-in-motion scale. The maximum percent error for the weight calculation was 204%, with about 65% of the data falling within 30% error. Additional research will be needed to develop an acoustic emission weigh-in-motion system with adequate accuracy for a commercial product. Nevertheless, this dissertation presents a valuable contribution to the effort of developing a low-cost acoustic emission weigh-in-motion scale. Future research needs that were identified as part of this dissertation include: Examination of the effects of pavement type (flexible or rigid), vehicle speeds greater than 50 mph, and temperature Determination of the best acoustic emission sensor for this system Exploration of the best method to separate the data from axles which pass over the equipment close together in time (such as tandem axles) Exploration of the effect of repeated measures on improving the accuracy of the system.
Show less - Date Issued
- 2011
- Identifier
- CFE0003581, ucf:48903
- Format
- Document (PDF)
- PURL
- http://purl.flvc.org/ucf/fd/CFE0003581
- Title
- SAFETY AND OPERATIONAL EVALUATION OF DYNAMIC LANE MERGING IN WORK ZONES.
- Creator
-
Harb, Rami, Radwan, Essam, University of Central Florida
- Abstract / Description
-
Traffic safety and mobility of roadway work zones have been considered to be one of the major concerns in highway traffic safety and operations in Florida. In intent to expose Florida's work zones crash characteristics, the Florida Traffic Crash Records Database for years 2002, 2003 and 2004 were explored. Statistical models were estimated and Florida's work zone crash traits for single vehicle crashes and two-vehicle crashes were drawn. For the single-vehicle crashes, trucks were...
Show moreTraffic safety and mobility of roadway work zones have been considered to be one of the major concerns in highway traffic safety and operations in Florida. In intent to expose Florida's work zones crash characteristics, the Florida Traffic Crash Records Database for years 2002, 2003 and 2004 were explored. Statistical models were estimated and Florida's work zone crash traits for single vehicle crashes and two-vehicle crashes were drawn. For the single-vehicle crashes, trucks were found more likely to be involved in single vehicle crashes in freeway work zones compared to freeways without work zones. Straight level roadways are significantly affected by the presence of work zones. The lighting condition is also one of the risk factors associated with work zone single-vehicle crashes. In fact, at work areas with poor or no lighting during dark conditions, motor vehicles are more prone for crashes compared to non-work zone locations with poor or no lighting during dark. The weather condition is positively associated with single-vehicle work zone crashes. Results showed that during rainy weather, drivers are less likely to be involved in work zone crashes compared to the same weather conditions in non-work zone locations. This fact may be due to the vigilant driving pattern during rain at work zones. For the two-vehicle work zone crashes, results showed that drivers younger than 25 years of age and drivers older than 75 years old have the highest risk to be the at-fault driver in a work zone crash. Male drivers have significantly higher risk than female drivers to be the at-fault driver. The model conspicuously shows that drivers under the influence of narcotics/alcohol are more likely to cause crashes (i.e. at-fault driver) at work zones. Road geometry and the lighting condition were significant risk factors associated with two-vehicle work zone crashes. Freeways straight segments are more susceptible to crashes in work zone areas. Poor lighting or no lighting at all during dark can lead to significantly higher crash hazard at work zones. Foggy weather causes a significant mount in work zone crash risk compared to non-work zone locations. In addition to that, work zones located in rural areas have higher crash potential than work zones located in urban areas. After examining the current Florida work zone Maintenance of Traffic (MOT) plans, known as the Motorist Awareness System (MAS), it was realized that this system is static hence does not react to changing traffic conditions. An ITS-based dynamic lane management system, known as dynamic lane merging system, was explored to supplement the existing MAS plans. Two forms of dynamic lane management were recognized as dynamic lane merging namely the early merge and the late merge. These two systems were designed to advise drivers on definite merging locations. Previously deployed dynamic lane merging systems comprise several Portable Changeable Message Signs (PCMS) and traffic sensors. The addition of multiple PCMSs to the current MAS plans may encumber the latter and usually requires relatively extensive equipment installation and relocation which could be inefficient for short term movable work zones. Therefore, two Simplified Dynamic Lane Merging Systems (SDLMS) were designed, deployed, and tested on Florida's short term movables work zones. The first SDLMS was a simplified dynamic early merge system (early SDLMS) and the second SDLMS was a simplified dynamic late merge system (late SDLMS). Both SDLMS consisted of supplementing the MAS plans used in Florida work zones with an ITS-based lane management system. From the two-to-one work zone configuration (first site), it was noted that the ratio of the work zone throughput at the onset of congestion over the demand volume was significantly the highest for the early SDLMS compared to the MAS and late SDLMS. Travel time through the work was the lowest for the early SDLMS, followed by the late SDLMS, and then MAS. However, the differences in mean travel times were not statistically significant. It was also concluded that the early SDLMS resulted in higher early merging compared to the MAS and that the late SDLMS in higher late merging compared to the MAS. The first site was used as a pilot for testing the system since data collection was limited to two days for each MOT type. Hence, operational measures of effectiveness (MOEs) could not be evaluated under different demand volumes. It should also be noted that the RTMS was not available during the MAS data collection which disabled us from collecting speed data. From the three-to-two work zone configuration site, data was collected extensively relative to the first site. The RTMS was available for all three MOT types tested which enabled the collection of the speed data that are used as a safety surrogate measure. The mean speed fluctuation in the closed lane was the highest under the MAS system for all demand volumes and in all three lanes. Comparing the dynamic early merge and the dynamic late merge mean speed fluctuations in the closed lane and the middle lane, results showed that the mean speed fluctuation for the early merge are lower than those of the late merge under all demand volumes. However, the difference in the mean speed fluctuation is only statistically significant under demand volume ranging between 1 and 500 veh/hr. As for the shoulder lane, it was noted that the speed mean speed fluctuation is significantly the lowest for demand volumes ranging between 1500 veh/hr and 2000 veh/hr under the late SDLMS compared to the early SDLMS and the MAS. The ratio of the throughput over demand volume was taken as the operational MOE. Results showed that the Dynamic early merge performs significantly better than the regular MAS under demand volume ranging between 500 veh/hr and 2000 veh/hr. Results also showed that the dynamic late merge perform better than the MAS under volumes ranging between 1500 veh/hr and 2000 veh/hr and significantly poorer than the MAS under low volumes. Therefore, the late SDLMS is not recommended for implementation under low volumes. Results also showed that the late SDLMS performs better than the early SDLMS under higher volume (ranging between 1500 veh/hr to 2000 veh/hr). A simulated work zone with a two-to-one lane closure configuration was coded in VISSIM and operational and safety MOEs under MAS, early SDLMS, and late SDLMS were compared under different drivers' adherence rate to the merging instructions, truck percentage in the traffic composition, and traffic demand volumes. Results indicated that throughputs are higher in general under the early SDLMS, travel times are lower under the early SDLMS. However, overall, the early SDLMS resulted in the highest speed variance among MOT types. The MAS resulted in the lowest speed variances overall
Show less - Date Issued
- 2009
- Identifier
- CFE0002741, ucf:48159
- Format
- Document (PDF)
- PURL
- http://purl.flvc.org/ucf/fd/CFE0002741
- Title
- THE CALIBRATION, VALIDATION, AND COMPARISON OF VISSIM SIMULATIONS USING THE TWO-FLUID MODEL.
- Creator
-
Crowe, Jeremy, Radwan, Essam, University of Central Florida
- Abstract / Description
-
The microscopic traffic simulation program VISSIM is a powerful tool that has been used by transportation engineers and urban planners around the world. A VISSIM simulation is meant to depict the performance of the physical road network through the use of modeling tools and behavioral parameters. The process which gets the model to the point of matching real world conditions is called calibration and requires a means of relating the real world to the simulated world. The topic of this thesis...
Show moreThe microscopic traffic simulation program VISSIM is a powerful tool that has been used by transportation engineers and urban planners around the world. A VISSIM simulation is meant to depict the performance of the physical road network through the use of modeling tools and behavioral parameters. The process which gets the model to the point of matching real world conditions is called calibration and requires a means of relating the real world to the simulated world. The topic of this thesis discusses a new means of calibration using the two-fluid model. The two-fluid model is a macroscopic modeling technique which provides quantitative characteristics of the performance of traffic flow on an urban road network. The model does this by generating a relationship between the travel time, stopped time, and running time per mile. The two-fluid model has been used to evaluate the performance of road networks for decades but now it is possible to use it to calibrate a VISSIM model. For this thesis, the two-fluid model to be used for calibration was generated from data collected on the Orlando, Florida, downtown network in February, 2008, during three traffic peaks for three typical weekdays. The network was then modeled in VISSIM which required a large amount of data regarding network geometry, signal timings, signal coordination schemes, and turning movement volumes. A similar data collection exercise was conducted during November, 2008, to capture the effects of changes that took place in the network during the ten month period. Another VISSIM network was also made to match the conditions of the November network. The February field data was used to successfully calibrate the VISSIM model and the November data was used to validate the calibrated network. The validation proved that the two-fluid models from the November field data and VISSIM data are statistically similar. With the network calibrated and validated, it could be used to perform scenario tests to see how the network performance would be affected by changes to the network. The two-fluid model has often been used to compare two different physical networks or explore how the performance of a single physical network has changed over time. A similar comparison can be done with the two-fluid models from a calibrated, simulated network. By using the original calibrated models as base cases, scenarios ranging from lane closures due to traffic incidents to the addition of a whole new signalized corridor on the network can be modeled in VISSIM and compared with the corresponding base case. This would allow a governing agency to preview the effects of proposed changes.
Show less - Date Issued
- 2009
- Identifier
- CFE0002729, ucf:48152
- Format
- Document (PDF)
- PURL
- http://purl.flvc.org/ucf/fd/CFE0002729
- Title
- PROVIDING A BETTER UNDERSTANDING FOR THE MOTORIST BEHAVIOR TOWARDS SIGNAL CHANGE.
- Creator
-
Elmitiny, Noor, Radwan, Essam, University of Central Florida
- Abstract / Description
-
This research explores the red light running phenomena and offer a better understanding of the factors associated with it. The red light running is a type of traffic violation that can lead to angle crash and the most common counter measure is installing a red light running cameras. Red light running cameras some time can reduce the rates of red light running but because of the increased worry of the public towards crossing the intersection it can cause an increase in rear end crashes. Also...
Show moreThis research explores the red light running phenomena and offer a better understanding of the factors associated with it. The red light running is a type of traffic violation that can lead to angle crash and the most common counter measure is installing a red light running cameras. Red light running cameras some time can reduce the rates of red light running but because of the increased worry of the public towards crossing the intersection it can cause an increase in rear end crashes. Also the public opinion of the red light running cameras is that they are a revenue generator for the local counties and not a concern of public safety. Further more, they consider this type of enforcement as violation of privacy. There was two ways to collect the data needed for the research. One way is through a tripod cameras setup temporarily placed at the intersection. This setup can collect individual vehicles caught in the change phase with specific information about their reactions and conditions. This required extensive manual analysis for the recorded videos plus data could not be collected during adverse weather conditions. The second way was using traffic monitoring cameras permanently located at the site to collect red light running information and the simultaneous traffic conditions. This system offered more extensive information since the cameras monitor the traffic 24/7 collecting data directly. On the other hand this system lacked the ability to identify the circumstances associated with individual red light running incidents. The research team finally decided to use the two methods to study the red light running phenomena aiming to combine the benefits of the two systems. During the research the team conducted an experiment to test a red light running countermeasure in the field and evaluate the public reaction and usage of this countermeasure. The marking was previously tested in a driving simulator and proved to be successful in helping the drivers make better stop/go decisions thus reducing red light running rates without increasing the rear-end crashes. The experiment was divided into three phases; before marking installation called "before", after marking installation called "after', and following a media campaign designed to inform the public about the use of the marking the third phase called "after media" The behavior study that aimed at analyzing the motorist reactions toward the signal change interval identified factors which contributed to red light running. There important factors were: distance from the stop bar, speed of traffic, leading or following in the traffic, vehicle type. It was found that a driver is more likely to run red light following another vehicle in the intersection. Also the speeding vehicles can clear the intersection faster thus got less involved in red light running violations. The proposed "Signal Ahead" marking was found to have a very good potential as a red light running counter measure. The red light running rates in the test intersection dropped from 53 RLR/hr/1000veh for the "before" phase, to 24 RLR/hr/1000veh for the "after media" phase. The marking after media analysis period found that the marking can help the driver make stop/go decision as the dilemma zone decreased by 50 ft between the "before" and the "after media" periods. Analysis of the traffic condition associated with the red light running it revealed that relation between the traffic conditions and the red light running is non-linear, with some interactions between factors. The most important factors included in the model were: traffic volume, average speed of traffic, the percentage of green time, the percentage of heavy vehicles, the interaction between traffic volume and percentage of heavy vehicles. The most interesting finding was the interaction between the volume and the percent of heavy vehicles. As the volume increased the effect of the heavy vehicles reversed from reducing the red light running to increasing the red light. This finding may be attributed to the sight blocking that happens when a driver of a passenger car follows a larger heavy vehicle, and can be also explained by the potential frustration experienced by the motorist resulting from driving behind a bigger vehicle.
Show less - Date Issued
- 2009
- Identifier
- CFE0002757, ucf:48118
- Format
- Document (PDF)
- PURL
- http://purl.flvc.org/ucf/fd/CFE0002757
- Title
- Developing Warrants for Designing Continuous Flow Intersection and Diverging Diamond Interchange.
- Creator
-
Almoshaogeh, Meshal, Radwan, Essam, Abdel-Aty, Mohamed, Abou-Senna, Hatem, University of Central Florida
- Abstract / Description
-
The main goal of this dissertation is to have better understanding of design and operation of the Continuous Flow Intersection (CFI) and Diverging Diamond Interchange (DDI) - as well as numerous factors that affect signalized intersection and interchange performance due to increased left-turn demand. The dissertation attempts to assess the need and justification to redesign intersections and interchanges to improve their efficiency. And to that end, an extensive literature review of existing...
Show moreThe main goal of this dissertation is to have better understanding of design and operation of the Continuous Flow Intersection (CFI) and Diverging Diamond Interchange (DDI) - as well as numerous factors that affect signalized intersection and interchange performance due to increased left-turn demand. The dissertation attempts to assess the need and justification to redesign intersections and interchanges to improve their efficiency. And to that end, an extensive literature review of existing studies was done with the prime aim of perceiving the principles of these innovative designs and determining the methodology to-be-followed, in order to reach the study's core. Accordingly, several DDI and CFI locations were selected as candidate locations, where the designs have already been implemented and the required data - to model calibration and validation - was collected. The micro-simulation software (VISSIM 8.0) was used for simulation, calibration and validation of the existing conditions - through several steps - including signal optimization and driving behavior parameter sensitivity analysis. Subsequently, an experiment was conceived for each design, aiming at examining several factors that affect each design's efficiency. The experiment comprised 180 and 90 different CFI (&) DDI scenarios and their conventional designs, respectively. Two measures of effectiveness were identified for result analysis: the average delay and capacity. Result analyses were performed to detect switching thresholds (from conventional to innovative designs. In addition, performance comparison studies of the CFI and DDI with their conventional designs were performed. The results and findings will serve as guidelines for decision-makers as to when they should consider switching from conventional to innovative design. Finally, decision support systems were developed to speed up the search for the superior design, in comparison with others.
Show less - Date Issued
- 2017
- Identifier
- CFE0007276, ucf:52187
- Format
- Document (PDF)
- PURL
- http://purl.flvc.org/ucf/fd/CFE0007276
- Title
- Joint modeling of traffic related crashes: a Copula based approch.
- Creator
-
Nashad, Tammam, Eluru, Naveen, Abdel-Aty, Mohamed, Radwan, Essam, University of Central Florida
- Abstract / Description
-
The study contributes to safety literature on transportation safety by employing copula based models for count frequency analysis at a macro-level. Most studies in the transportation safety area identify a single count variable (such as vehicular, pedestrian or bicycle crash counts) for a spatial unit and study the impact of exogenous variables. While the traditional count models perform adequately in the presence of a single count variable, it is necessary to modify these approaches to...
Show moreThe study contributes to safety literature on transportation safety by employing copula based models for count frequency analysis at a macro-level. Most studies in the transportation safety area identify a single count variable (such as vehicular, pedestrian or bicycle crash counts) for a spatial unit and study the impact of exogenous variables. While the traditional count models perform adequately in the presence of a single count variable, it is necessary to modify these approaches to examine multiple dependent variables for each study unit. To that extent, the current research effort contributes to literature by developing two multivariate models based on copula methodology. First, a copula based bivariate negative binomial model for pedestrian and bicyclist crash frequency analysis is developed. Second, a multivariate negative binomial model for crashes involving non-motorized road users, passenger cars, vans, light trucks and heavy trucks is proposed. The proposed approaches also accommodate for potential heterogeneity (across zones) in the dependency structure. The formulated models are estimated using traffic crash count data at the Statewide Traffic Analysis Zone (STAZ) level for the state of Florida for the years 2010 through 2012. The STAZ level variables considered in our analysis include exposure measures, socio-economic characteristics, road network characteristics and land use attributes. A policy analysis is also conducted along with a representation of hotspot identification to illustrate the applicability of the proposed model for planning purposes. The development of such spatial profiles will allow planners to identify high risk zones for screening and treatment purposes.
Show less - Date Issued
- 2016
- Identifier
- CFE0006153, ucf:51124
- Format
- Document (PDF)
- PURL
- http://purl.flvc.org/ucf/fd/CFE0006153
